AI-themed ETFs plunge in wake of DeepSeek news
28/1/2025 6:09
Prices of exchange-traded funds with
outsize exposure to Nvidia plunged in the initial hours
of trading on Monday in reaction to news that a Chinese startup
has launched a powerful new artificial intelligence model.
Technology market insiders like venture capitalist Marc
Andreessen have labeled the emergence of year-old DeepSeek's
model a "Sputnik moment" for U.S. AI companies, most of whose
share prices slid on news that downloads of DeepSeek already
have overtaken those of U.S. rival ChatGPT on Apple's
online app store.
While Nvidia's share price had tumbled nearly 17% by midday
on Monday, prices of exchange-traded funds that offer leveraged
exposure to the chipmaker plunged still further.
The four ETFs that offer daily returns of double the gain in
Nvidia were hit with the biggest decline, with the GraniteShares
2x Long NVDA Daily ETF nosediving 32.5%. Its leveraged
inverse counterpart, which offers investors a gain of double any
losses in Nvidia's stock, soared 31%.
The asset management firms that offer these ETFs could not
immediately be reached for comment.
Other leveraged ETFs with large Nvidia exposure made equally
dramatic moves. The ProShares Ultra Semiconductors ETF,
which targets a return double that of the Dow Jones U.S.
Semiconductors Index and has more than 40% of its
assets in Nvidia, tumbled 24.43% by midday on Monday.
"Volatility is what the gamblers in single-stock ETFs are
looking for," said Bryan Armour, ETF analyst at Morningstar.
"Those that have a bad experience now might shy away in future,
but I’m sure they’ll be replaced by others."
The leveraged ETFs, which carry relatively high fees of
close to 1% compared with about 0.4% for a typical actively
managed ETF, are the domain of retail traders and speculators,
Armour added.
But other ETFs were caught up in the selling, including many
owned by institutions and retail investors with a longer
investment time horizon.
For instance, the Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund
traded down 4.7% by midday on Monday. Nvidia is the
fund's second-largest holding, at nearly 15% of the portfolio.
The VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF
lost about 7% by midday. It has a smaller exposure to
Nvidia - only 3% - but owns a wide variety of other AI stocks.
"Innovation and competition emerging in something as
early-stage and dynamic as AI is not that surprising," said Adam
Patti, co-founder and CEO of VistaShares. "The market will have
to sort itself out over the months and years, as to what works
and what will prevail."
The rapid growth of AI enthusiasm sent assets in the
VistaShares ETF - launched only seven weeks ago - to more than
$3 billion by Friday, the firm said. The 2x GraniteShares Nvidia
ETF - the largest of the leveraged funds - had $5.3 billion in
assets as of Friday, according to data from VettaFi, accounting
for about half of GraniteShares' total assets.
The selloff follows a week in which investors "aggressively"
unloaded holdings in leveraged technology ETFs, said research
firm EPFR in its weekly analysis. The firm said these ETFs
recorded the second-largest weekly outflow on record, of $1.8
billion, with investors selling $400 million in leveraged Nvidia
exposure alone.
Data for any outflows from these and other AI-themed ETFs on
Monday is not available until Tuesday.
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